# kaal:claim:4900880-022

**Claim.** Headline net job creation figures conceal the real disruption: employers anticipate structural labor market churn of 23 percent of jobs over five years, so a positive net balance of created over destroyed jobs understates how many workers must move.

**Type.** failure  **Support.** evidenced

**Source quote.**

> However, this net positive job creation masks significant churn in the job market, with employers anticipating a structural labor market churn of 23% of jobs in the next five years.

**From.** Wulf A. Kaal, *Quantum Economy and the Future of Work* (2024), 3.3.1 Job Dynamics: Creation, Destruction, and Transformation, page 34

**Cite as.** Wulf A. Kaal, Quantum Economy and the Future of Work (2024). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4900880

**Verify.** sha256 of source PDF `64ea6e8b7cfb3d9a83801eba54f9b87182b842a963273ddab7f2d5305639db73` at https://raw.githubusercontent.com/wulfkaal/Academic-Papers/main/papers/pdf/Kaal%20-%202024%20-%20Quantum%20Economy%20and%20the%20Future%20of%20Work.pdf

**Failure mode.** net-job-count-masks-churn  (family: measurement-and-metric-failure)

**Topics.** economics, research-methods

**Keywords.** labor-market-churn, job-creation, job-displacement, measurement

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