# kaal:claim:5886442-005

**Claim.** Against the abundance projections, the author records a tempering proposition: measured macroeconomic effects of AI remain modest, roughly a 0.7 percent productivity surge yielding 1.1 to 1.8 percent GDP growth over a decade, because frictions confine impact to about 5 percent of tasks while inequality widens for vulnerable demographics.

**Type.** empirical  **Support.** evidenced

**Holds when.**

- holds for aggregate measured effects over roughly a decade
- assumes task level adoption barriers persist

**Source quote.**

> Yet, Proposition 5 tempers optimism: AI's macroeconomic effects remain modest—a 0.7% productivity surge yielding 1.1–1.8% GDP growth over a decade—due to frictions in only 5% of tasks, widening inequality for vulnerable demographics (Acemoglu 2025).

**From.** Wulf A. Kaal, *The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory* (2025), Macroeconomic Propositions and Impacts, page 8

**Cite as.** Wulf A. Kaal, The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5886442

**Verify.** sha256 of source PDF `d2f6edebc562152f6ea706cc3ad944f7a1b81979931571e54cb782849839dfce` at https://raw.githubusercontent.com/wulfkaal/Academic-Papers/main/papers/pdf/Kaal%20-%202025%20-%20The%20AI-to-AI%20Economy%20and%20the%20Collapse%20of%20Anthropocentric%20Economic%20Theory.pdf

**Topics.** economics

**Keywords.** macroeconomics, productivity, inequality, gdp-growth, adoption-frictions

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