{
 "@context": "https://schema.org",
 "@type": "DefinedTerm",
 "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/condorcet",
 "identifier": "kaal:entity:condorcet",
 "name": "Condorcet",
 "termCode": "condorcet",
 "inDefinedTermSet": {
  "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/index.json"
 },
 "author": {
  "@type": "Person",
  "name": "Wulf A. Kaal",
  "identifier": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0757-275X"
 },
 "dateModified": "2026-07-29",
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 "additionalProperty": [
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   "name": "status",
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  },
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   "value": [
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    "2021"
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 "subjectOf": [
  {
   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3782217-009",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:3782217-009",
   "text": "Condorcet's Jury Theorem cuts both ways: larger groups of slightly stupid people, defined as being wrong slightly more than half the time, are worse than smaller groups of stupid people, so the idiocy of the mob is the counterbalance to the wisdom of the crowd.",
   "abstract": "larger groups of slightly stupid people are worse than smaller groups of stupid people. The idiocy of the mob is the counterbalance to the wisdom of the crowd.",
   "citation": "Craig Calcaterra, Wulf A. Kaal, The Importance of History In Decentralization (2021). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3782217",
   "datePublished": "2021",
   "claim_type": "failure",
   "confidence": "argued",
   "is_failure_mode": true,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "average member correct less than half the time"
   ],
   "source_pdf_sha256": "358779557d8e7dcd101720ca0fad90b9146d24f1c7c03909eb431fcf1fb7e103",
   "status": "current"
  },
  {
   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3782217-010",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:3782217-010",
   "text": "An oracle DAO must filter its network so that the average member is correct at least slightly more often than incorrect; once that filter holds, larger and more decentralized networks converge on the truth more quickly and more certainly.",
   "abstract": "So an oracle DAO needs to filter its network to guarantee the average member is correct, at least slightly more than they are incorrect. Then the larger and more decentralized the network becomes, the quicker and more certainly it will converge on the truth.",
   "citation": "Craig Calcaterra, Wulf A. Kaal, The Importance of History In Decentralization (2021). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3782217",
   "datePublished": "2021",
   "claim_type": "condition",
   "confidence": "argued",
   "is_failure_mode": false,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "average member better than chance",
    "no systemic bias"
   ],
   "source_pdf_sha256": "358779557d8e7dcd101720ca0fad90b9146d24f1c7c03909eb431fcf1fb7e103",
   "status": "current"
  }
 ],
 "description": "2 claims in the published works of Wulf A. Kaal carry the concept tag 'condorcet'. Derived node: a roster, not an adjudicated definition."
}