# Hindsight bias

`kaal:entity:hindsight-bias`

**Status.** derived

This node is assembled mechanically from the 2 claims that carry the concept tag `hindsight-bias`. It is a roster of what the corpus says under this term. It is **not** an adjudicated definition: no single statement here has been ruled canonical, and no first-appearance call has been made. Read the claims and judge for yourself.

## Every claim under this term

2 claims across 2 works, 2010 to 2016.

**2010**

- [1558614-012](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1558614-012) [mechanism/argued] -- Hindsight bias exerts a stronger influence on how excessive risk is defined in countries culturally predisposed to dwell on their own past, while countries oriented toward a future unlike the past more easily dismiss earlier financial lessons as irrelevant.
  > Hindsight bias and other concep- tual approaches rooted in past experience—including valid lessons learned from past experience—may exert a more powerful influence in a country that is otherwise predisposed to be concerned with its past
  Painter and Kaal, Initial Reflections on an Evolving Standard Constraints on Risk Taking by Directors and Officers in (2010). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1558614

**2016**

- [2811718-029](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2811718-029) [failure/evidenced] *(failure mode)* -- Claims in which investors use hindsight to second guess due diligence practices often fail, even when the manager was clearly incompetent.
  > Claims that involve investors using hindsight to second guess the due diligence practice often fail (even in the face of clearly incompetent management), as seen in South Cherry Street,
  Wulf A. Kaal, Private Fund Investor Due Diligence – Evidence from 1995 to 2015 (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2811718

## Verify

Every claim above resolves to a record carrying a verbatim source quote, the sha256 of the source PDF, and a preformatted citation. Nothing here asks to be taken on trust.

    curl -s https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/hindsight-bias.md | sha256sum

**Canonical form.** This markdown file is the canonical hashed representation of this entity node. Its sha256 is the content hash.