# Legal uncertainty

`kaal:entity:legal-uncertainty`

**Status.** derived

This node is assembled mechanically from the 30 claims that carry the concept tag `legal-uncertainty`. It is a roster of what the corpus says under this term. It is **not** an adjudicated definition: no single statement here has been ruled canonical, and no first-appearance call has been made. Read the claims and judge for yourself.

## Every claim under this term

30 claims across 20 works, 2004 to 2025.

**2004**

- [617681-025](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/617681-025) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Conflict of laws problems become more complex and pose a much greater threat to the entire system of regulatory competition once a jurisdiction markets its corporate law as a separate product under Type B competition.
  > Conflict of laws problems, however, become more complex, and are a much greater threat to the entire system of regulatory competition, once a jurisdiction markets its corporate law as a separate product in Type B regulatory competition.
  Christian Kirchner, Richard W. Painter, Wulf A. Kaal, Regulatory Competition in EU Corporate Law after Inspire Art Unbundling Delaware's Product for Euro (2004). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=617681

**2010**

- [1664809-016](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1664809-016) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- For European jurisdictions the extraterritorial application of US law creates confusion and legal uncertainty and makes it harder to regulate private parties who engage in regulatory arbitrage by taking their litigation to the United States when convenient.
  > US law can create confusion, legal uncertainty, and difficulties
  Richard W. Painter, Wulf A. Kaal, Extraterritorial Application of US Securities Law – Will the US Become the Default Jurisdiction for (2010). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1664809
- [1664809-022](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1664809-022) [mechanism/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Overlapping regulation and inconsistent legal rules create uncertainty, so that individual board members of European companies and their attorneys will not know which legal rules apply or what effects those rules may have.
  > Overlapping regulation and inconsistent legal rules create uncer-
  Richard W. Painter, Wulf A. Kaal, Extraterritorial Application of US Securities Law – Will the US Become the Default Jurisdiction for (2010). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1664809
- [1664809-023](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1664809-023) [mechanism/evidenced] -- Legal uncertainty generates transaction costs, and European company boards will inevitably incur costs minimizing the information asymmetries created by different legal regimes that may or may not apply to their company.
  > Legal uncertainty generates transaction costs.
  Richard W. Painter, Wulf A. Kaal, Extraterritorial Application of US Securities Law – Will the US Become the Default Jurisdiction for (2010). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1664809

**2011**

- [1765901-002](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1765901-002) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Before Morrison, U.S. courts refused to adopt a bright line rule for the extraterritorial reach of Section 10(b), and the resulting case by case conduct and effects analysis was applied inconsistently.
  > U.S. courts had avoided a bright line rule for determining which cases can be litigated in U.S. courts and which cannot. As a result, U.S, courts applied the conduct and effects tests inconsistently'.
  Kaal and Painter, The Aftermath of Morrison v. National Australia Bank and Elliott Associates v. Porsche (2011). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1765901
- [1765901-012](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1765901-012) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Morrison provides no clear parameters for classifying privately negotiated transactions as domestic or foreign, because the case involved publicly traded securities and never reached the question.
  > There are currently no clear parameters for defining the location of privately negotiated transactions as domestic or foreign transactions under Morrison. Morrison did not explore this issue because that case involved securities that were publicly traded — in Australia.
  Kaal and Painter, The Aftermath of Morrison v. National Australia Bank and Elliott Associates v. Porsche (2011). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1765901
- [1806252-006](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1806252-006) [mechanism/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Regulating entities that operate in the same markets under asymmetric rules creates legal uncertainty and significant transaction costs.
  > Asymmetric regulation of entities operating in the same markets creates legal uncertainty and significant transaction costs.
  Kaal, Hedge Fund Regulation Via Basel III (2011). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1806252
- [1806252-018](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/1806252-018) [mechanism/argued] -- A lack of regulatory guidance creates legal uncertainty, and legal uncertainty in turn generates transaction costs.
  > A lack of guidance may create legal uncertainty,!4° and legal uncertainty generates transaction costs.
  Kaal, Hedge Fund Regulation Via Basel III (2011). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1806252

**2012**

- [2061166-008](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2061166-008) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- The authors identify a drafting defect in the proposed CRD IV Regulation: the distinction drawn by financial institution in Article 51(a) is ambiguous and the cross reference to the institution referred to in point (a) of Article 87 is unclear and indeterminate, so the provision requires clarification or amendment.
  > the distinction is ambiguous and requires further clarification or amendment. Specifically, the statutory reference in § 51, ¶ (a) ("of the institution referred to in point (a) of Article 87") is unclear and indeterminate.
  Christoph K. Henkel, Wulf A. Kaal, Contingent Capital in European Union Bank Restructuring (2012). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2061166
- [2061166-014](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2061166-014) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Because German law fixes no threshold conditions or determining factors for market reception or market confidence, the systemic relevance and contagion determinations that turn on those factors can never be made in a reliable and objective manner.
  > The German law does not stipulate any threshold conditions or determining factors for market reception or confidence. As a result, it will always be difficult to determine any of these factors in a reliable and objective manner.
  Christoph K. Henkel, Wulf A. Kaal, Contingent Capital in European Union Bank Restructuring (2012). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2061166
- [2150377-004](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2150377-004) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Before Dodd-Frank the perimeter of hedge fund regulation was set by SEC no-action letters on client counting and by courts that gave very limited and sometimes contradictory guidance, so compliance rested on an unstable and uncertain base rather than on rules.
  > However, the SEC continued to provide guidance mostly in the form of no-action letters to help investment advisers determine the counting of clients to stay exempt from securities regulation.44 Courts also provided very limited and sometimes contradictory guidance.45
  Wulf A. Kaal, Hedge Fund Manager Registration Under the Dodd-Frank Act (2012). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2150377

**2013**

- [2348463-010](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2348463-010) [failure/evidenced] *(failure mode)* -- Old Bankruptcy Rule 2019 was applied inconsistently in practice, with courts interpreting it with a high degree of variability both across and within jurisdictions.
  > Old Rule 2019 had been applied inconsistently in practice. Courts interpreted old Rule 2019 with a high degree of variability, both across and within jurisdictions.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Hedge Funds’ Systemic Risk Disclosures in Bankruptcy (2013). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2348463
- [2348463-011](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2348463-011) [mechanism/argued] -- The growing number of conflicting decisions under old Rule 2019, and the confusion and uncertainty they produced, is what precipitated the concerted effort by bankruptcy practitioners and the federal bankruptcy bench to revise the rule.
  > The growing number of conflicting cases and the resulting confusion and uncertainty precipitated a concerted effort by bankruptcy practitioners and the federal bankruptcy bench to revise old Rule 2019.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Hedge Funds’ Systemic Risk Disclosures in Bankruptcy (2013). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2348463
- [2348463-012](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2348463-012) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Revised Rule 2019 clarifies some of the ambiguities of the old rule, but uncertainty and confusion about its application remain inevitable.
  > While Revised Rule 2019 clarifies some of the ambiguities under old Rule 2019, uncertainty and confusion still seem inevitable.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Hedge Funds’ Systemic Risk Disclosures in Bankruptcy (2013). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2348463

**2016**

- [2740477-012](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2740477-012) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Rulemakers' inability to address the regulatory issues raised by disruptive innovation will generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency, and that uncertainty inhibits innovation during technological transition periods.
  > Rulemakers' inability to address regulatory issues associated with disruptive innovation will likely generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency82 that inhibit innovation during technological transition periods
  Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, Venture Capital as Dynamic Regulation of Disruptive Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2740477
- [2740477-013](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2740477-013) [predictive/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Technological transition will be a permanent state in the age of disruptive innovation, so the uncertainty and inconsistency caused by rulemakers' inability to react in time is a standing condition rather than a transitional cost.
  > technological transition is likely going to be a permanent state in the age of disruptive innovation, which exacerbates the uncertainty and inconsistency created by rulemakers' inability to react timely and adequately to disruptive innovation.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, Venture Capital as Dynamic Regulation of Disruptive Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2740477
- [2808132-014](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2808132-014) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Rulemakers' inability to address disruptive innovation will generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency that inhibit innovation during technological transition, and technological transition is likely to become a permanent state, so the inhibiting effect becomes permanent too.
  > disruptive innovation will likely generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency74 that inhibit innovation during technological transition periods; and technological transition is likely going to be a permanent state in the age of disruptive
  Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, How to Regulate Disruptive Innovation - From Facts to Data (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2808132
- [2831040-027](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2831040-027) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- The downsides of principles based regulation are a costly and time consuming transition from rules based regulation, uncertainty, and compliance problems that follow from that uncertainty.
  > The downsides of principles-based regulation include a costly and time consuming change from rules-based regulations to principles-based regulation, uncertainty, and compliance problems because of uncertainty
  Wulf A. Kaal, Dynamic Regulation for Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2831040
- [2831040-029](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2831040-029) [mechanism/argued] -- Dynamic regulatory mechanisms avoid legal uncertainty better than principles based regulation because in the dynamic framework rulemaking follows feedback processes that are transparent to both the affected industries and the regulators.
  > Dynamic regulatory mechanisms also avoid legal uncertainty more than principles-based regulation because in the dynamic framework rulemaking can happen after feedback processes that are transparent to both the affected industries and the regulators.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Dynamic Regulation for Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2831040

**2017**

- [2834531-009](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2834531-009) [mechanism/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Because technological transition is becoming a permanent state rather than an episode, rulemakers' inability to address the regulatory issues created by disruptive innovation will generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency.
  > technological transition is going to be a permanent state in the age of disruptive innovation, rulemakers' inability to address regulatory issues associated with disruptive innovation will likely generate high levels of legal uncertainty and inconsistency
  Mark Fenwick, Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P. M. Vermeulen, Regulation Tomorrow What Happens When Technology Is Faster Than the Law (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2834531
- [2939127-032](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2939127-032) [condition/argued] -- Open legal questions about the DAO, including which regime governs token issuance, minority token holder protection, taxation, the binding force of DAO smart contracts, ownership of intellectual property, and conflict resolution, must be answered before future DAO structures can operate seamlessly.
  > Open legal issues pertaining to the DAO need to be addressed before future DAO setups can operate seamlessly.
  Mark Fenwick, Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P. M. Vermeulen, Legal Education in the Blockchain Revolution (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2939127
- [2939127-033](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2939127-033) [predictive/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Exponentially increasing disruptive innovation will lead clients to routinely bring legal professionals problems that those lawyers cannot fully understand, inside a legal framework that does not always supply clear or helpful answers.
  > The exponentially increasing disruptive innovation worldwide will cause clients to frequently ask legal professionals to deal with issues lawyers cannot fully understand, within a legal framework that does not always offer clear or helpful answers.
  Mark Fenwick, Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P. M. Vermeulen, Legal Education in the Blockchain Revolution (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2939127
- [3067615-029](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3067615-029) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- The lack of a regulatory framework creates significant legal uncertainty in the ICO market, and because cryptocurrencies are censorship-resistant and arguably regulation-resistant by design, that uncertainty may sooner or later lead the Securities and Exchange Commission to declare ICOs illegal.
  > The lack of a regulatory framework creates significant legal uncertainty in the ICO market. Moreover, cryptocurrencies are censorship-resistant and arguably regulation-resistant by design,56
  Wulf A. Kaal, Marco Dell'Erba, Initial Coin Offerings Emerging Practices, Risk Factors, and Red Flags (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3067615

**2019**

- [3409548-015](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3409548-015) [condition/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Smart contracts face a legal origin problem: lawyers may argue that they are void and unenforceable, and contract law rules on formation, interpretation, conditions and remedies require substantive adjustment before smart contracts fit within it.
  > While smart contracts may reflect the underlying contract between parties, lawyers may argue that "smart contracts" are void and unenforceable under the law.65 Contractual legal rules regarding formation, interpretation, conditions and remedies require substantive adjustments for smart contracts
  Kaal, Financial Technology and Hedge Funds (2019). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3409548

**2021**

- [3782201-030](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3782201-030) [mechanism/argued] *(failure mode)* -- The more decentralized products are, meaning more censorship resistant, autonomous, and beyond regulatory control, the more they are left in a regulatory vacuum, and the resulting legal uncertainty limits their expansion, reach, and evolution.
  > As a result, the more decen- tralized products that are more censorship resistant, autonomous, and cannot be con- trolled by regulatory agencies, are largely left in a regulatory vacuum. The associated legal uncertainty limits their expansion, reach, and evolution.
  Craig Calcaterra, Wulf A. Kaal, Future of Decentralization (2021). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3782201

**2022**

- [4021599-015](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/4021599-015) [condition/evidenced] -- None of the SEC's listed characteristics bearing on reliance on the efforts of others is individually determinative; the element becomes more likely to be met the stronger the presence of those characteristics.
  > None of these factors are necessarily determinative, but the stronger their presence the more likely the element is met.22 In determining whether there
  Wulf A. Kaal, Securities Versus Utility Tokens (2022). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4021599
- [4033886-029](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/4033886-029) [predictive/argued] -- Legal uncertainty about crypto exchanges exerts a chilling effect on the market, and increased liquidity may follow once the market gains greater clarity on the legal issues surrounding this asset class.
  > Once the market gains greater clarity on the legal issues surrounding this new asset class, increased liquidity in the market may follow.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Samuel Evans, Hayley Howe, Digital Asset Valuation (2022). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4033886

**2023**

- [4529715-008](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/4529715-008) [mechanism/argued] *(failure mode)* -- The absence of clear regulatory direction from the SEC and state governments helps explain why many DAOs take minimal action to establish regulatory compliance within their organizations.
  > The nature of DAOs and the lack of clear regulatory direction from the SEC and state governments is relevant in analyzing these scores since many DAOs appear to take minimal action in establishing regulatory compliance within the organizations.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Josh Bykowski, Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAO) – A Market Meta Analysis (2023). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4529715

**2024**

- [4957318-005](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/4957318-005) [mechanism/argued] -- Inconsistent application of a proliferating body of law by different judges and regulatory bodies produces unpredictable legal outcomes, which increases litigation as parties seek judicial clarification and in turn undermines public confidence in the legal system.
  > Inconsistencies in the application of laws by different judges or regulatory bodies can result in unpredictable legal outcomes, thereby increasing litigation as parties seek judicial clarification. This inconsistency further undermines public confidence in the legal
  Wulf A. Kaal, The Future of Law - Dynamic Web3 Governance (2024). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4957318

**2025**

- [5583610-022](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/5583610-022) [condition/argued] -- The common enterprise prong is the unresolved part of the analysis: vertical commonality may well be present through the merchant network, and inconsistent district court precedent leaves LER's status under this prong uncertain.
  > However, there is some uncertainty on qualifying LER as a common enterprise given the inconsistent treatment and precedent in different district courts.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Liquid Equity Rewards in Corporate America (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5583610

## Verify

Every claim above resolves to a record carrying a verbatim source quote, the sha256 of the source PDF, and a preformatted citation. Nothing here asks to be taken on trust.

    curl -s https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/legal-uncertainty.md | sha256sum

**Canonical form.** This markdown file is the canonical hashed representation of this entity node. Its sha256 is the content hash.
