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 "identifier": "kaal:entity:macroeconomics",
 "name": "Macroeconomics",
 "termCode": "macroeconomics",
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 "author": {
  "@type": "Person",
  "name": "Wulf A. Kaal",
  "identifier": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0757-275X"
 },
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   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3249860-006",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:3249860-006",
   "text": "In decentralized systems the functions previously performed by policy designers, central bankers, and economists in centralized markets are taken over by the token designer for the respective token economy.",
   "abstract": "Whereas policy designers, central bankers, and economists previously coordinated market design and economic regulations in centralized systems, these functions are taken over by the token designer for the respective token economy.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Crypto Economics - The Top 100 Token Models Compared (2018). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3249860",
   "datePublished": "2018",
   "claim_type": "mechanism",
   "confidence": "asserted",
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  {
   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/5886442-005",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:5886442-005",
   "text": "Against the abundance projections, the author records a tempering proposition: measured macroeconomic effects of AI remain modest, roughly a 0.7 percent productivity surge yielding 1.1 to 1.8 percent GDP growth over a decade, because frictions confine impact to about 5 percent of tasks while inequality widens for vulnerable demographics.",
   "abstract": "Yet, Proposition 5 tempers optimism: AI's macroeconomic effects remain modest—a 0.7% productivity surge yielding 1.1–1.8% GDP growth over a decade—due to frictions in only 5% of tasks, widening inequality for vulnerable demographics (Acemoglu 2025).",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5886442",
   "datePublished": "2025",
   "claim_type": "empirical",
   "confidence": "evidenced",
   "is_failure_mode": false,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "holds for aggregate measured effects over roughly a decade",
    "assumes task level adoption barriers persist"
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   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/6244278-032",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:6244278-032",
   "text": "The agentic AI sector was valued at approximately seven to eight billion dollars in 2025, with forecasts of forty to fifty billion dollars by 2030 at compound annual growth rates exceeding forty percent.",
   "abstract": "The agentic AI sector is valued at approximately seven to eight billion dollars in 2025, with forecasts of forty to fifty billion dollars by 2030 at compound annual growth rates exceeding forty percent.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, AI's Mother's Instinct Engineered Consequence Emergent Ethics and the Institutional Trajectory Toward Agentic Alignment (2026). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=6244278",
   "datePublished": "2026",
   "claim_type": "empirical",
   "confidence": "evidenced",
   "is_failure_mode": false,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "figures drawn from cited market research forecasts, which vary in range"
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   "source_pdf_sha256": "53533cdcc081184e7a376516ad4fece0a64ce49f6c8931b6a2c2e98ed914a84b",
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 "description": "3 claims in the published works of Wulf A. Kaal carry the concept tag 'macroeconomics'. Derived node: a roster, not an adjudicated definition."
}