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   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2740477-001",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:2740477-001",
   "text": "Ex post trial and error rulemaking built on stable and presumptively optimal rules produces suboptimal regulatory outcomes that are no longer sustainable once disruptive innovation grows exponentially.",
   "abstract": "The ex-post trial-and-error-rulemaking with stable and presumptively optimal rules7 in the existing regulatory framework8 often produces suboptimal regulatory outcomes that are no longer sustainable in an environment of exponential disruptive innovation.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, Venture Capital as Dynamic Regulation of Disruptive Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2740477",
   "datePublished": "2016",
   "claim_type": "failure",
   "confidence": "argued",
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   "text": "Under exponential disruptive innovation the information rulemakers need arrives too late for trial and error rulemaking to be effective, regulatory issues grow more complex, and unknown future contingencies in the rulemaking process increase substantially.",
   "abstract": "relevant information for rulemaking is less likely to materialize soon enough for traditional trial-and-error rulemaking to be effective, regulatory issues become increasingly complex, and unknown future contingencies increase substantially in the rulemaking process.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, Venture Capital as Dynamic Regulation of Disruptive Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2740477",
   "datePublished": "2016",
   "claim_type": "failure",
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   "text": "Ex post trial and error rulemaking requires as a precondition that information about optimized rule requirements becomes available, and in an age of exponential innovation that information may never materialize or may arrive too late for the method to work.",
   "abstract": "A prerequisite for ex-post trial-and- error rulemaking is thus the availability of the information on optimized rule requirements. In an age of exponential innovation, that information may not materialize at all or may not materialize in time for the trial-and-error rulemaking to be effective.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Erik P.M. Vermeulen, Venture Capital as Dynamic Regulation of Disruptive Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2740477",
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   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2831040-007",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:2831040-007",
   "text": "Facts based, ex post, trial and error rulemaking cannot anticipate the regulatory issues created by innovation, so rulemakers may never recognize, or may recognize only much too late, which new regulatory demands apply to a given innovation.",
   "abstract": "Because facts-based, ex-post, trial-and-error-rulemaking cannot anticipate regulatory issues created by innovation, rulemakers may not at all–or",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Dynamic Regulation for Innovation (2016). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2831040",
   "datePublished": "2016",
   "claim_type": "failure",
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   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/2957645-002",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:2957645-002",
   "text": "Facts-based, ex-post, trial-and-error rulemaking cannot anticipate the regulatory issues created by innovation, so rulemakers may not realize, or may realize far too late, what new regulatory demands a given innovation generates.",
   "abstract": "First, because facts-based, ex-post, trial-and-error rulemaking cannot anticipate regulatory issues created by innovation, rulemakers may not realize—or may realize much too late—what new regulatory demands apply to a given innovation and its associated regulatory issue.",
   "citation": "Kaal, Dynamic Regulation via Contingent Capital (2017). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2957645",
   "datePublished": "2017",
   "claim_type": "failure",
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    "existing regulatory framework built on stable rules"
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   "identifier": "kaal:claim:2957645-012",
   "text": "Anticipatory regulation, which uses institution-specific and timely information together with feedback effects to create new rules, can minimize costly and suboptimal ex-post trial-and-error experimentation with stable and presumptively optimal rules.",
   "abstract": "Anticipatory regulation uses institution-specific, timely information and feedback effects to create new rules.24 Anticipatory dynamic regulation can help minimize costly and suboptimal ex-post, trial-and-error experimentation with stable and presumptively optimal rules.25",
   "citation": "Kaal, Dynamic Regulation via Contingent Capital (2017). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2957645",
   "datePublished": "2017",
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 "description": "6 claims in the published works of Wulf A. Kaal carry the concept tag 'trial-and-error-rulemaking'. Derived node: a roster, not an adjudicated definition."
}