{
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 "@type": "DefinedTerm",
 "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/unpredictability",
 "identifier": "kaal:entity:unpredictability",
 "name": "Unpredictability",
 "termCode": "unpredictability",
 "inDefinedTermSet": {
  "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/index.json"
 },
 "author": {
  "@type": "Person",
  "name": "Wulf A. Kaal",
  "identifier": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0757-275X"
 },
 "dateModified": "2026-07-29",
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   "value": 2
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   "value": [
    "2017",
    "2025"
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 "subjectOf": [
  {
   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3002908-004",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:3002908-004",
   "text": "Regulators cannot draft specific blockchain regulation because the risks, opportunities, and concrete outcomes of blockchain in reshaping financial markets are unpredictable.",
   "abstract": "The unpredictability of the risks and the opportunities as well as the concrete outcomes of blockchain in reshaping financial markets are clear obstacles for regulators' attempts at drafting new specific regulation.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, Marco Dell'Erba, Blockchain Innovation in Private Investment Funds - A Comparative Analysis of the United States and (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3002908",
   "datePublished": "2017",
   "claim_type": "failure",
   "confidence": "argued",
   "is_failure_mode": true,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "applies to attempts at drafting new technology specific regulation while the technology is still evolving"
   ],
   "source_pdf_sha256": "06a7b61e75f905ee07e422e875d83a65c5033a248a6e05a213523b034e5db534",
   "status": "current"
  },
  {
   "@type": "Claim",
   "@id": "https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/5245185-008",
   "identifier": "kaal:claim:5245185-008",
   "text": "AI autonomy introduces unpredictability: agent actions may diverge from intended outcomes, which amplifies the risk of unintended ramifications.",
   "abstract": "AI autonomy introduces unpredictability, wherein actions may diverge from intended outcomes, amplifying risks of unintended ramifications.",
   "citation": "Wulf A. Kaal, How can we Best Monitor AI Agents (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5245185",
   "datePublished": "2025",
   "claim_type": "failure",
   "confidence": "evidenced",
   "is_failure_mode": true,
   "scope_conditions": [
    "autonomous agents acting without step by step human authorization"
   ],
   "source_pdf_sha256": "4d7adba83ec722480e97bde6528cbe9ce98c709e45cb18794f157a64b8fe7da2",
   "status": "current"
  }
 ],
 "description": "2 claims in the published works of Wulf A. Kaal carry the concept tag 'unpredictability'. Derived node: a roster, not an adjudicated definition."
}