# Unpredictability

`kaal:entity:unpredictability`

**Status.** derived

This node is assembled mechanically from the 2 claims that carry the concept tag `unpredictability`. It is a roster of what the corpus says under this term. It is **not** an adjudicated definition: no single statement here has been ruled canonical, and no first-appearance call has been made. Read the claims and judge for yourself.

## Every claim under this term

2 claims across 2 works, 2017 to 2025.

**2017**

- [3002908-004](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/3002908-004) [failure/argued] *(failure mode)* -- Regulators cannot draft specific blockchain regulation because the risks, opportunities, and concrete outcomes of blockchain in reshaping financial markets are unpredictable.
  > The unpredictability of the risks and the opportunities as well as the concrete outcomes of blockchain in reshaping financial markets are clear obstacles for regulators' attempts at drafting new specific regulation.
  Wulf A. Kaal, Marco Dell'Erba, Blockchain Innovation in Private Investment Funds - A Comparative Analysis of the United States and (2017). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3002908

**2025**

- [5245185-008](https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/5245185-008) [failure/evidenced] *(failure mode)* -- AI autonomy introduces unpredictability: agent actions may diverge from intended outcomes, which amplifies the risk of unintended ramifications.
  > AI autonomy introduces unpredictability, wherein actions may diverge from intended outcomes, amplifying risks of unintended ramifications.
  Wulf A. Kaal, How can we Best Monitor AI Agents (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5245185

## Verify

Every claim above resolves to a record carrying a verbatim source quote, the sha256 of the source PDF, and a preformatted citation. Nothing here asks to be taken on trust.

    curl -s https://wulfkaal.github.io/entities/unpredictability.md | sha256sum

**Canonical form.** This markdown file is the canonical hashed representation of this entity node. Its sha256 is the content hash.
