Requiring data scientists to stake a cryptocurrency on their own predictions is a workable remedy for overfitting, because the stake expresses confidence in live performance and lets the fund select the optimal model.
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The staking process, in turn, enables Numerai to choose the optimal model and in the process improve the performance of its hedge fund.
Kaal, Financial Technology and Hedge Funds (2019). SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3409548
Holds when
crowdsourced modeling competition with a stakeable token
Classification
designsupport: arguedrisk-and-incentives
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extendskaal:claim:2998033-022 Requiring data scientists to stake a cryptocurrency on their own predictions converts private confidence into ...
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