kaal:claim:7598518-037

Claim. A contrast is superior when its Holm-adjusted p-value is below 0.05, its 95 percent interval lies above zero, and its point estimate is at least 0.10; it is negative when the adjusted p-value is below 0.05 and the interval lies below zero, a substantive null when its 90 percent interval lies within plus or minus that margin, and inconclusive otherwise.

Type. design · Support. stated

Holds when

• The unit of analysis is the seed, and every contrast is a paired seed-level difference within a validator family.
• The effect sizes were fixed by the operator before any pilot.

Source quote

A contrast is superior when its Holm-adjusted p-value is below 0. 05 (Holm 1979), its 95 percent interval lies above zero, and its point estimate satisfies ^ d ≥ δ = 0. 10. It is negative when the adjusted p-value is below 0.05 and the interval lies below zero, a substantive null when its 90 percent interval lies within [− δ, δ], and inconclusive otherwise.

From. Wulf A. Kaal, Can Reputation Prevent Model Collapse? A Preregistered Test of Reputation-Weighted Data Filtering (2026). Full text.

Cite as. Wulf A. Kaal, Can Reputation Prevent Model Collapse? A Preregistered Test of Reputation-Weighted Data Filtering (2026). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=7598518

Verify. sha256 of source PDF cd22d148b2b55c2e27f087dcaa61cdf44ad7022b400b355c31a9cd7e43a31749 at https://wulfkaal.com/papers/7598518.pdf

Content hash. 5aa30881fbbf3345fd3c5ade4203c6429cfb0b41a30db802020e6c05bcef6036