kaal:claim:5886442-005

Against the abundance projections, the author records a tempering proposition: measured macroeconomic effects of AI remain modest, roughly a 0.7 percent productivity surge yielding 1.1 to 1.8 percent GDP growth over a decade, because frictions confine impact to about 5 percent of tasks while inequality widens for vulnerable demographics.

Yet, Proposition 5 tempers optimism: AI's macroeconomic effects remain modest—a 0.7% productivity surge yielding 1.1–1.8% GDP growth over a decade—due to frictions in only 5% of tasks, widening inequality for vulnerable demographics (Acemoglu 2025).

Wulf A. Kaal, The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory (2025), Macroeconomic Propositions and Impacts, p. 8
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5886442 · source PDF

Wulf A. Kaal, The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory (2025). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5886442

• holds for aggregate measured effects over roughly a decade
• assumes task level adoption barriers persist

empiricalsupport: evidencedeconomics

The quote above is an exact substring of the source PDF, whose sha256 is d2f6edebc562152f6ea706cc3ad944f7a1b81979931571e54cb782849839dfce. Extraction method: pdf-text-layer.
Attestation record: colloquium/attestations/8f6a3bfa4dd00f41...json
Verify the binding yourself: curl -s https://wulfkaal.github.io/claims/5886442-005.md | sha256sum